Beth n Rod 1,279 Report post Posted September 8, 2007 Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080839 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.0W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.8N 74.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 76.2W...TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 76.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 71.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 73.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
0 bigchaz 157 Report post Posted September 8, 2007 sweeeet been watching this one hit wilmington = college closed boom! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
0 John Orr 206 Report post Posted September 8, 2007 Nothing like a little blow to get folks out inspecting their homes for storm damage - and notice just how badly they need my services! After Isabelle a few years ago, I was busy for months! But seriously, I hope things don't get too nuts - though we do need the rain. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
0 Beth n Rod 1,279 Report post Posted September 8, 2007 Yeah we do need the rain. Its been very very dry here this year. Here's an update. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE 000 WTNT22 KNHC 081441 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBERMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN VIRGINIA FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST AND TO NEW POINT COMFORT ALONG CHESAPEAKE BAY. AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM SOUTH OF SURF CITY SOUTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 74.2W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 74.2W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.4N 75.3W...TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.8N 76.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.2N 75.6W...NEAR NC OUTER BANKS MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.4N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 46.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 74.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
0 Beth n Rod 1,279 Report post Posted September 9, 2007 Looks better than it did! Tropical Storm GABRIELLE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 000 WTNT22 KNHC 091139 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 1200 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA FOR THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 76.4W AT 09/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 20SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 40SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 76.4W AT 09/1200Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 75.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.3N 76.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.6N 74.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 39.2N 69.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 76.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE
000
WTNT22 KNHC 080839
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 73.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.8N 74.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 76.2W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 76.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 73.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
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